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The simplest one is often used on classic back catalogues (green leaves) where you add up the publisher’s share each year and you divide the total by the number of years of data and that equals the net publisher’s share or “NPS” per year. This method is used if a minim period of 10 years can be documented and then the average will be multiplied with 5 for a 10 years exclusivity and given in advances.
The cash flow method
This model is based upon the principal that the first year or two of a hit song’s life is pretty much its maximum value and the song’s income over time will continue to regress, flatten out or disappear over a long period of time. The total of this regressing income flow is the approximate value. If the song’s royalties can be show over the last 3 years and has been regressing with 15% each year, a conservative estimate based upon 10 years exclusive administration rights will show a reasonable advance paid on that basis.
- Happy Birthday 1893 - $ 50 Million
- White Christmas 1940 - $ 36 Million
- You`ve lost that lovin` Feelin” 1964 - $ 32 Million
- Yesterday 1965 - $ 30 Million
- Unchained Melody 1955 - $ 27.5 Million
- Stand by Me 1961 - $ 27 Million
- Santa Claus is coming to town 1934 - $ 25 Million
- Every breath you take 1983 - $ 20.5 Million
- Oh pretty woman 1964 - $ 19.75 Million
- The Christmas Song 1944 - $ 19 Million